Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Bandwagon fallacy

Tens of millions of people all around the world do it, myself included. There must be something in it. [- anonymous blogger]

The one very sure property of our brain is that it does not work reliably and harbors plenty of habits of bad thinking. one of the very popular brand of bad thinking is the bandwagon fallacy or otherwise named ad-populum argument. In short it tells that a proposition is true because any number of people beliefs it to be true. Usually any number of people means the majority of the population. On the surface of it the argument sounds very plausible and persuasive. Many people lead their thinking and decision-making in their lives without realization that they fall into that type of fallacy. It is probably due to our innate propensity for listening to authority figures and the group of people provides enormous authority pressure to guide our thinking. However if we agree that the truth of the proposition should be independent on the source which expressed proposition or even formulated it, the authority might not be perceived as valid in that context. After removal of authority of the group from the argument it becomes void unlocking support therefore it becomes invalid.

Usually the best meets it to expose the fallacy is to show an example of argument of that type with up sort consequences of obvious to anyone.
We can for example point that Nazis ideology had massive support in the German society during Hitler's time, but this obviously doesn't render it true it in a factually or correct in a moral dimension.
The other example is the quite popular view in the past that the earth is flat. In fact only handful of people on the whole Earth suspected that in fact the planet might have in fact spherical shape.

We can generally say that any idea or ideology that has only large support in the society cannot at all be a measure of its validity. there must exist some other evidence in support of that idea to decide if it's true. The bandwagon fallacy arguments are very weak in their nature and can only be persuasive in case of unaware persons. It is a favorite tool of populist politicians, salesmen, priests or other persons want to test its power of persuasion to manipulate the crowds. However in more advanced debates such argument is used very rarely and usually indicates that the person using it is lacking best argumentation skills.


Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Recent inactivity note

I have admit that I was quite inactive recently with my writing. I was quite busy working on my software project focusing on facilitation of the decision-making processes. It requires plenty of work which I do on a daily basis and which consumes considerable amount of my personal time resources. It is of course a lot of fun and a real joy to do something which is not only interesting but also potentially useful in everyday life of other people including my own. The drawback of that situation is that I cannot spend more time writing blog articles. I hope to return to that habit very soon.

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Things may change even in Texas

It is quite moving video and from unusual school board session in Dallas, Texas.




Besides the story of teenage suicides which is always tragic and nonsensical, I think that interesting thing is the impact on the social changes which is made by technology that allowed to film such events and distribute them everywhere using Internet so the message may reach young people who strongly need such support. I must say that I feel very lucky to live in such transforming times.

Sunday, October 10, 2010

The court analogy

Believers sometimes provide argument that their case is similar to the court case in the sense that the skeptic is examining their beliefs (as a set of claims), demanding evidence and providing verdict that belief is correct or is false. In that analogy the defendant, thee believer should have the right to be presumed as "innocent unless proven".

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

The Story of Marjoe

I have found the full length version of this movie online. It tells the story of the youngest in history American evangelist. He was 4 when he started to preach sermons and assist at marriage celebrations.

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

It sums it up quite well

It is short clip but it humorously shows the ridiculous stance of religious accommodation.

Thursday, September 16, 2010

How is doing student sentenced to death in Afghanistan?

I have recently reminded myself about the situation of the young student, Sayed Pervez Kambaksh from Afghanistan imprisoned and sentenced to death by authorities (mostly hardline Islamists). His only grave crime was to download the report about womens' right from United Nations agency web site. It is worth to mention that this happened under rule of Karzai and while american troops present in Afghanistan.